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Augsburg vs Ein Frankfurt

Fri 29 Jan 2027, 00:00 UTC · Round 19 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Augsburg win: 36.1%

Draw: 29.7%

Ein Frankfurt win: 34.2%

Predicted: Augsburg

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 58.9%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 54.8%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.7

More corners: Augsburg (51.7% home / 48.3% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Ein Frankfurt

Yes

Probability Ein Frankfurt wins or draws: 62.2%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result No strong lean Outcomes are close together -- the model doesn't see a clear favourite. (36.0% model probability) Low

Both Teams to Score Yes (59.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Ein Frankfurt win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (62.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.